Summary

In Sweden, surface partial discharges (PD) in 24/0.4 kV secondary substations have been identified as a reliability concern, with the potential to cause equipment failures. This study used inspection data from over 500 substations, combined with asset and environmental information, to develop features for predicting PD-related faults in cable terminations.

Several Machine learning (ML) algorithms were developed and trained to predict the likelihood of surface PD, enabling Distribution System Operators (DSOs) to target at-risk installations for preventive inspections. The models demonstrated high sensitivity and accuracy, successfully identifying all defective cable terminations in validation tests, with only a small number of false positives. This approach allows DSOs to optimise maintenance resources, prioritise interventions, and reduce the risk of costly failures.

The results show that data analytics and ML can significantly enhance asset management in power distribution networks, supporting more effective and proactive maintenance strategies.

Additional informations

Publication type Session Materials
Reference B3_11425_2026
Publication year
Publisher CIGRE
Country Sweden
Study committees
File size 514 KB
Price for non member 30 €
Price for member 30 €

Authors

LINDQUST Tommie - RISE; SANDELS Claes - RISE; JOHANSSON Tomas - Svensk Linjebesiktning

Assessing Risk Factors for PD-Activity in 24 kV Secondary Substations Using Machine Learning