Summary

The global energy transition towards net-zero emissions presents significant challenges for power system planning, particularly for rapidly growing economies. This paper presents the application of STELLAR (Strategic Expansion for Long-Term Resource Adequacy and

Resilience), an indigenous capacity expansion optimization tool developed by India's Central

Electricity Authority. STELLAR employs Linear Programming optimization featuring chronological modeling, co-optimization of energy and ancillary services, unit commitment constraints, integrated demand response, and zonal transmission modeling.

The study analyzes India's power system expansion over 2025-2055 under three scenarios. Key findings reveal total installed capacity must grow from 500 GW to over 4,000 GW, with solar emerging as the dominant technology (123 GW to 1,700+ GW). Energy storage requirements expand from 6 GW to over 1,200 GW. Emission projections indicate grid emission intensity declining from 590 kg CO₂/MWh to 170-190 kg CO₂/MWh by 2050, demonstrating effective decarbonization. The non-fossil share increases from 50% to over 91% by 2050.

The results demonstrate STELLAR's capability for national-scale planning and provide valuable insights for policymakers navigating energy transition complexities.

Additional informations

Publication type Session Materials
Reference C1_11012_2026
Publication year
Publisher CIGRE
Country India
Study committees
File size 1 MB
Price for non member 30 €
Price for member 30 €

Authors

SWAIN* Anshuman - Central Electricity Authority, India; MENGHANI Vijay - Central Electricity Authority, India

Keywords

Capacity expansion planning, Decarbonization pathways, Electricity system modelling, Net-zero transition, Power system planning, Resource adequacy, STELLAR model, Sustainable energy, Thermal power plant emissions

Strategic Electricity System Expansion for Net-Zero Transition using the STELLAR Model: Integrating Thermal Emission Constraints and Ensuring Resource Adequacy