Summary

This paper presents a comparative analysis of three primary approaches to modeling spatial demand for electric vehicle (EV) charging: geospatial, statistical, and agent-based. The calculated spatial EV charging demand results are verified using real-world data from public charging station usage in a major Russian city over a period of 2.5 years. A detailed description of the three models under consideration is provided, and the calculation of the most promising locations for charging station deployment using each model is performed. The comparative analysis of the simulation results is based on metrics for the accuracy of calculating EV charging demand and for determining the ranking of the most attractive locations for EV charging station placement. Based on the analysis results, the scope of application for the considered methods of determining EV charging demand is defined. The obtained results can be used for planning the development of EV charging infrastructure.

Additional informations

Publication type Session Materials
Reference C6_11217_2026
Publication year
Publisher CIGRE
Country Russian Federation
Study committees
File size 474 KB
Price for non member 30 €
Price for member 30 €

Authors

VORONIN Vyacheslav - T.F. Gorbachev Kuzbass State Technical University; NEPSHA Fedor - RTSoft Smart Grid, LLC

Keywords

Electric Vehicles, Charging Stations, Statistical Analysis, Machine Learning, Geospatial Analysis, Agent modeling

Modeling and Forecasting Spatial Charging Demand for Electric Vehicles: Comparative Analysis of Agent-Based, Statistical, and Geospatial Approaches